What will the margin of victory be in the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
34
125Ṁ3170
Nov 4
97%
More than 2 points
96%
More than 4 points
89%
More than 6 points
90%
More than 8 points
70%
More than 10 points

Resolves based off the difference in vote percentage between the first- and second- place candidates.

US Politics
Politics
Elections
NYC
2025 NYC Elections
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When will this resolve?

opened a Ṁ1,500 YES at 65% order

@HenriConfucius put your whole balance on it

@JackP

I think this should be <50%, but I wont put my whole balance on a coinflip or even a dice throw. Not a sustainable long run strategy. Ive put 10% of my balance on NY election markets already, so gotta diversify risk.

@JackP now you're tempting me

Can more delusional people bet yes on a 10pp difference, please? I wanna make more Mana

opened a Ṁ1,500 YES at 60% order

@HenriConfucius big limit order up for you

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