What will the margin of victory be in the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
34
Ṁ125Ṁ3.2kresolved Dec 3
Resolved
YESMore than 2 points
Resolved
YESMore than 4 points
Resolved
YESMore than 6 points
Resolved
YESMore than 8 points
Resolved
NOMore than 10 points
Resolves based off the difference in vote percentage between the first- and second- place candidates.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I think this should be <50%, but I wont put my whole balance on a coinflip or even a dice throw. Not a sustainable long run strategy. Ive put 10% of my balance on NY election markets already, so gotta diversify risk.
Can more delusional people bet yes on a 10pp difference, please? I wanna make more Mana