What will the margin of victory be in the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
34
125Ṁ3170Nov 4
97%
More than 2 points
96%
More than 4 points
89%
More than 6 points
90%
More than 8 points
70%
More than 10 points
Resolves based off the difference in vote percentage between the first- and second- place candidates.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
What % of the vote will Zohran Mamdani get in the 2025 NYC mayoral general election?
What will be the margin in the 2026 New York Gubernatorial election?
Who will win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
Winner Vote Share in 2025 NYC Mayoral General Election
Who will win the 2029 New York City mayoral election?
Who will win the 2029 New York City Democratic mayoral primary?
Who Would you vote for in the 2025 NYC Mayoral election?
POLL
Sort by:
I think this should be <50%, but I wont put my whole balance on a coinflip or even a dice throw. Not a sustainable long run strategy. Ive put 10% of my balance on NY election markets already, so gotta diversify risk.
Can more delusional people bet yes on a 10pp difference, please? I wanna make more Mana
People are also trading
Related questions
What % of the vote will Zohran Mamdani get in the 2025 NYC mayoral general election?
What will be the margin in the 2026 New York Gubernatorial election?
Who will win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
Winner Vote Share in 2025 NYC Mayoral General Election
Who will win the 2029 New York City mayoral election?
Who will win the 2029 New York City Democratic mayoral primary?
Who Would you vote for in the 2025 NYC Mayoral election?
POLL