Will we get AGI before 2048?

Will Claude Opus 4 reach enlightenment in AI Digest’s Agent Village, before July?

Claude 4 tops Chatbot arena without Style Control, when it is introduced?

Tyler Cowen thinks Claude 3 meets some definitions of AGI. Five years from now, will Claude be considered an early AGI?

Does Claude 3.5 have control vector(s) to increase its capabilities?

Will Claude 3.5 Opus have a higher Chat Arena Elo than GPT-5?

Will Claude MCP have equivalent functionality to a Claude Computer Use module by EOY2025?

Will GPT-4 be legally considered AGI?

Is Metaculus' strong AGI question too weak?

Did the release of Claude 3 help reduce AI x-risk?