Depending on who the next Pope is, will he be based?
Depending on who the next Pope is, will he be based?
6
900Ṁ198
May 31
49%
Robert Sarah
46%
Matteo Zuppi
46%
Pietro Parolin
46%
Péter Erdő
44%
Pierbattista Pizzaballa
40%
José Tolentino Calaça de Mendonça
40%
Fridolin Ambongo Besungu
37%
Peter Turkson
36%
Luis Antonio Tagle

This market is a derivative of this one:

Here's how this works:
For each person listed, if he becomes the next Pope, his option will resolve the same as the linked market. His option will resolve YES if the linked market resolves YES, or NO if the linked market resolves NO.

If a candidate does not become the next Pope, his option will resolve N/A.

Basically, conditional on [candidate] becoming Pope, how likely is it that he will be considered "based"?

Example: If Matteo Zuppi becomes Pope, the Matteo Zuppi option will resolve YES if the linked market resolves YES, or NO if that market resolves NO.

If Matteo Zuppi does not become Pope, the Matteo Zuppi option resolves N/A.
Same rules apply for every candidate listed.

Feel free to add more candidates!

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bought Ṁ10 Péter Erdő YES7d

Ought to be noted these should not be whether you think those are based but whether by the reference judges in that other market...

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