Will the next pope be based?

192Ṁ312

Dec 31

31%

chance

ALL

I will rely on Jack Posobiec (https://x.com/JackPosobiec) and J.D. Vance for the resolution. Both are practicing Catholics vocally critical of the far left activist Bergoglio.

They must consider the new pope's overall policies as based (not necessarily, but preferably using that word), it is not sufficient that they refer to any single specific thing the pope does as based (though it will be a strong indicator that the pope is, in fact, based).

You may consider Vance's Munich speech as the gold standard of basedness.

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Would certainly be interesting if Elon Musk tried to buy the papacy. Has been known to happen down the centuries

@JussiVilleHeiskanen That's a fantastic idea for another market, will elon influence or try to influence the next conclave

@skibidist there would be a nontrivial chance of backfiring

bought Ṁ7 NO

I dare not trade large, because I think people might trade based on the title rather than the description

@JussiVilleHeiskanen Do you think people's standards of basedness are as loose as Bergoglio's adherence to principles?

@skibidist my guess is people will not care about anything but that he carries two sticks and wears a hat

So AND not OR ?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen It will be both or neither, but in the improbable case that they have different views views, PROB 50%.

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