How many Alternative App Marketplaces for iOS will be launched in Europe by July 2024?
How many Alternative App Marketplaces for iOS will be launched in Europe by July 2024?
32
1kṀ2359
resolved Aug 2
100%90%
1-5
9%
6-10
1.4%
11-99
0.4%
More than 100

Apple recently announces that they will support Alternative App Marketplace where users in the EU can install apps from somewhere other than the Apple App Store.

Other companies such as Steam, Epic, Meta, Google, Spotify, Microsoft might be interested in using this option to distribute their apps. It is not mandatory and an alternative marketplace requires the app distributor to pay a different set of fees compared to the Apple App Store.

This question will resolve to how many marketplaces will be launched by the end of July 2024. I do not live in the EU and will try to get the most correct number based on news sources, social media, and company announcements.

The policy is going to come into effect in March 2024.

Any questions please let me know in the comments.

Technology
Europe
Apple
European Union
App Stores
Technology Policy
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9mo

Four has launched so far.

https://www.theverge.com/2024/6/6/24171044/four-apple-app-store-alternatives-are-now-live-in-europe

11mo

arb with https://manifold.markets/DavidFWatson/how-many-alternative-app-marketplac-2cc65486789bhttps://manifold.markets/DavidFWatson/how-many-alternative-app-marketplac-2cc65486789b

1y

Another one launching https://www.macrumors.com/2024/05/13/setapp-iphone-marketplace-may-14/

1y

One launched already

https://www.macrumors.com/2024/04/17/altstore-eu-alternative-app-marketplace/

1y

One of them announced an alternative App Store https://www.macrumors.com/2024/02/29/setapp-alternative/

1y

https://www.macrumors.com/2024/02/16/epic-games-store-ios-eu/

1y

Where's the zero option?

1y

@DavidFWatson There isn’t and I couldn’t add more option. Maybe just bet NO on the options?

@esusatyo you selected “one option will be chosen” when creating the market, so the options always add up to 100%, if you bet no on one option then it drives the other options up

Only way to fix this is to resolve N/A and create a new market. Markets with <10 traders that resolve N/A can be deleted

1y

@ahalekelly Can you change the "1-5" to "0-5"?

@DavidFWatson technically yes but if a lot of traders bet on the assumption that it was 1-5 then it’s unfair to them to change the criteria. So if you’re going to change the criteria, it’s best to change it as early as possible

You could also resolve N/A if the answer is 0 but that’s not great either

1y

@ahalekelly https://manifold.markets/DavidFWatson/how-many-alternative-app-marketplac-2cc65486789b?r=RGF2aWRGV2F0c29u

1y

@DavidFWatson I’ll resolve this as N/A if it ends up 0.

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