🎓 Which UCs will admit a Stanford admit?
14
279
755
resolved Mar 28
Resolved
YES
UC San Diego
Resolved
YES
UC Santa Cruz
Resolved
NO
UCLA
Resolved
NO
UC Berkeley
Resolved
NO
UC Santa Barbara
Resolved
NO
UC Irvine
Resolved
NO
UC Davis

Modified from my (resolved) SPMHY market:

I'm a current high-school senior applying to colleges, hoping to start in Fall of 2024. I'm applying to the six above colleges, among others. I've been admitted REA to Stanford, but I'm still curious about my UC chances.

Here's my profile:

Upper-middle class LGBTQ white kid from Berkeley, CA
4.0 Unweighted GPA (my school does not weight)
IB Diploma Candidate (the highest available at our school as of 10/23)

Testing
5/5 in AP Chemistry
5/7 in IB Computer Science (SL)
7/7 in IB Biology (SL)

1520 (Perfect) PSAT, NMSQT Scholarship Recipient
1570 SAT (790 Reading/Writing, 780 Math)

Interests/Activities
Developer (see https://eliot.sh/) including freelance work
Newspaper Web Editor and Journalist (Interviewed by NPR in '22)
Nationally-Ranked Parliamentary Debater (Championship Quarter finalist in 2022, currently ranked #4, Varsity Captain)
Cyclist (Biked 5,000 miles in 2022, Varsity MTBer)
Flutist (Section Leader)
Founded our Art History Club

Debate Tournament Results
- Quarterfinalist, NPDL-TOC 2023
- Tournament Champion, Yale 2023
- Tournament Champion, Vassar 2022
- Tournament Champion, La Reina 2022
- Semifinalist, UOP 2022
- Semifinalist, Ridge 2022


I also have some smaller results not listed here. I will continue to update this list if I win more tournaments. Note that any new entries (I will mark) will not be added to the Stanford application because that is submitted early.

Senior Year Courses
Functionally the most rigorous course load my school offers (apart from language):
- Intermediate Chamber Orchestra
- AP Physics C
- IB Theory of Knowledge
- IB English Literature
- IB History of the Americas
- IB French IV
- IB Math HL
- Journalism

Essays
Worked for Stanford!

Letters
My two letters are from:
- My junior year Advanced Math III teacher, who I get along well with
- My junior year history teacher / journalism adviser. I'm good friends with them, and I've had them for 4 years

Results from Colleges (non-UCs)
University of Orgeon - Admitted ($50,000 scholarship)

Stanford - Admitted REA
University of Colorado Boulder - Admitted ($25,000 scholarship)
University of Virginia - Admitted

McGill - Admitted

I will continue to update this description as I receive responses from colleges, or if anything else here changes with my profile, like NMSQT status.

For any colleges who may see this: Hello! I think prediction markets are a fascinating for their applications in the real world. What better thing to use them for than something that's important to my own life?

---

10/25: Clarified IB Diploma Information

10/28: Submitted Stanford
11/9: Added interview info

12/4: Accepted into the University of Oregon with a $50,000 scholarship

12/15: Accepted into Stanford
1/17: Accepted into the University of Colorado Boulder with a $25,000 scholarship

3/11: Added missing admits

3/19: Resolved all but Berkeley.

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Update:

Accepted UCSC, UCSD

Waitlisted at UCLA

Rejected at UCSB

Still waiting on Berkeley.

Waitlisted at Davis, rejected from Irvine.

The UCs are fascinating :)

@eliot how???

@cc6 Unclear! I went over my application again and I didn’t mess anything up…