Will I be diagnosed with Diabetes or pre-Diabetes in 2023?
11
34
280
resolved Jan 10
Resolved
N/A

Background:

I have a low prior probability of having diabetes:
Never seen any abnormal HbA1c or fasting glucose measures, no diabetics in the family, I eat healthily, am caucasian, have an academic middle-class background (parents cared about a healthy diet), have always been normal weight/slightly underweight, am young (<25yrs), etc.

So far, I have not had any suspicion that I might have diabetes.

I just got a Constant Blood Glucose Monitor for biohacking purposes (Freestyle Libre 3) and it showed me a spike of almost 250 mg/dl 1,5hrs after eating a Vietnamese rice dish. This is way out of the healthy range (usually you'd expect to stay below 140mg/dl after food).

I will now be verifying with a prick test (Accu-Check) and possibly doing further diagnostics. I do not know what the results of all that will be. Worst case I find out I'm diabetic.

So, will I be diagnosed with diabetes or pre-diabetes in 2023?

Get Ṁ200 play money
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⚠Inactive Creator

📢Resolved to N/A per CG (resolution criteria are personal).

@elibutchad Can you resolve, please?

bought Ṁ30 of NO

Professionally tested HbA1c, fasting glucose and urinary glucose were all in normal range, this makes it more unlikely that I'll be diagnosed w Diabetes this year.

doing a HbA1c test this Friday

sold Ṁ56 of NO

When my CBGM was peaking at 215, the prick test was showing just 156. However within 10 minutes the CBGM (which is expected to lag behind 10-20mins) was also back at 159 so it is possible that I just missed the peak with the prick test.

Selling some no shares as I've updated upwards on the device's accuracy, and the prick test's 156 is already above the norm of 140. Will repeat and update.

sold Ṁ14 of NO

In the evening, I will be eating the Vietnamese dish that supposedly caused me to peak at 250mg/dl and again compare with the prick test - will update.

predicted NO

After breakfast, the libreview CBGM showed me a peak of 144 and a steady fall to ~120 afterwards; At the time of the peak my accucheck prick test was reading 133. This suggests <10% deviation (especially if we assume that CBGM lags behind ~10 minutes).

bought Ṁ30 of NO

Accucheck showed me 85mg/dl fasting glucose, libreview was showing values between 96-100 during the timeframe of the measurement. (apparently 12-15% deviation with low blood sugar levels)

bought Ṁ35 of NO

Prior probability seems to be >1% just based on age. (not accounting for further protective factors)

predicted NO

@elibutchad in my country of origin, prevalence of diabetes among 15-29 yrs is ~0.5%

predicted NO

@elibutchad (I mean <1%)

bought Ṁ20 of NO

@elibutchad that includes type 1 as well. Since you don't have type 1, and you're not overweight, the chance that you have diabetes is very, very small. Prediabetes is not a medical diagnosis, it's a risk assessment, so it depends how you're defining that.

predicted NO

@Pandurevich One other possibility is LADA, for whose onset you're the perfect age, but that is very rare as well