
Will @Kaivu and I's final project for 6.S898 result in an arXiv paper by June 2023?
14
250Ṁ935resolved Oct 28
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if @Kaivu and I's final project for 6.S898 results in an arXiv paper by the start of June 2023.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ181 | |
2 | Ṁ26 | |
3 | Ṁ10 | |
4 | Ṁ3 | |
5 | Ṁ2 |
People are also trading
Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
30% chance
Will Kaivu, Atticus and I's current project get accepted to ICML 2025
1% chance
Will this paper (https://arxiv.org/pdf/2410.00965) get at least 50 citations by the end of 2025?
29% chance
[Subsidized] Will Stankov and Lee’s 2020 paper on Kvashchev’s Experiment replicate by the end of 2025? N/A if no attempt
42% chance
Will arxiv still exist in 2040?
74% chance
Will I (co)write an AI safety research paper by the end of 2024?
45% chance
Will arxiv still exist in 2030?
96% chance
Which of these research ideas will I publish or preprint by end of 2026?
Will Lada Nuzhna submit at least one paper to bioarxiv in 2024?
34% chance
Sort by:
@vluzko, we're doing mechanistic interpretability on models trained on tasks in which grokking occurs, similar to Neel Nanda's analysis of a transformer trained on modular arithmetic. Our goal is to interpret models trained on other tasks (e.g. permutation composition and image brightness classification) where grokking occurs.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
30% chance
Will Kaivu, Atticus and I's current project get accepted to ICML 2025
1% chance
Will this paper (https://arxiv.org/pdf/2410.00965) get at least 50 citations by the end of 2025?
29% chance
[Subsidized] Will Stankov and Lee’s 2020 paper on Kvashchev’s Experiment replicate by the end of 2025? N/A if no attempt
42% chance
Will arxiv still exist in 2040?
74% chance
Will I (co)write an AI safety research paper by the end of 2024?
45% chance
Will arxiv still exist in 2030?
96% chance
Which of these research ideas will I publish or preprint by end of 2026?
Will Lada Nuzhna submit at least one paper to bioarxiv in 2024?
34% chance