Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against the CFTC? (Ṁ2000 subsidy)
Basic
25
20k
2025
40%
chance

For now, I'll define "win" as a judge ruling in favor of Kalshi and allowing election markets and/or CFTC settling and allowing election markets.

I'm making this market quickly without giving much thought to the rules, but I'm open to rule refinements and in general subscribe to the "spirit of the market" vibe. Essentially this will resolve as YES if Kalshi achieves its objectives.

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
predicts YES

@MickBransfield how do i do that?

predicts NO

@eightyhi I see you're in the Kalshi group now. Apologies if I missed it before.

I think if the case they're making was winnable, someone would have won it by now. This is mostly for PR, IMO.

@Joshua cool