Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against the CFTC? (Ṁ2000 subsidy)
32
2.2kṀ57k
resolved Oct 2
Resolved
YES

For now, I'll define "win" as a judge ruling in favor of Kalshi and allowing election markets and/or CFTC settling and allowing election markets.

I'm making this market quickly without giving much thought to the rules, but I'm open to rule refinements and in general subscribe to the "spirit of the market" vibe. Essentially this will resolve as YES if Kalshi achieves its objectives.

US Politics
Kalshi
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@mods

bought Ṁ1,760 YES

https://www.reuters.com/legal/us-federal-court-upholds-ruling-letting-kalshiex-list-election-betting-contracts-2024-10-02/

sold Ṁ469 NO

Resolves Yes

Wow
https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/09/06/kalshi-cleared-to-offer-congressional-prediction-markets-in-victory-against-cftc/?utm_term=organic&utm_campaign=coindesk_main&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&utm_content=editorial

@eightyhi Maybe add this question to the "Kalshi" group: https://manifold.markets/browse?topic=kalshi&t=

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predictedYES

@MickBransfield how do i do that?

predictedNO

@eightyhi I see you're in the Kalshi group now. Apologies if I missed it before.

I think if the case they're making was winnable, someone would have won it by now. This is mostly for PR, IMO.

@Joshua cool

@Joshua Welp

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