Resolves YES if the Spain and Portugal are selected as the 2030 World Cup hosts in the 74th FIFA Congress in 2024.
Ukraine might possibly join their bid and host games from the group stages: https://theathletic.com/3655578/2022/10/05/ukraine-2030-world-cup-bid/
If Ukraine or another country (for example Morocco) joins or not, won't affect the resolution of this market.
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Resolving YES due to early official announcement by FIFA: https://www.fifa.com/about-fifa/organisation/fifa-council/media-releases/fifa-council-takes-key-decisions-on-fifa-world-cup-tm-editions-in-2030-and-2034
Morocco joined the Spain and Portugal bid, without any other African country in any bid, I would expect all African votes to go for this bid, so they seem to be clear favorites for now: https://www.lemonde.fr/en/le-monde-africa/article/2023/05/04/morocco-is-teaming-up-with-spain-and-portugal-to-host-the-2030-world-cup_6025358_124.html
@Dreamingpast it would still resolve YES if Ukraine joins and the bid gets selected. Although, I feel like the war will drag on and there will be other priorities for Ukraine