Where will the 2038 FIFA World Cup be hosted (any option that hosts at least one match will resolve YES)?
4
1kṀ231
2038
55%
OFC or Australia
50%
OFC
50%
CONMEBOL
50%
Anywhere outside CONCACAF, CONMEBOL, OFC
41%
New Zealand
41%
Australia
41%
Anywhere in CONCACAF that is not the US, Mexico or Canada
34%
United States
34%
Mexico
30%
Fiji

The 2038 FIFA World Cup is a planned association football tournament, whose host country or countries has yet to be decided. The next World Cup hosts will be as follows:

  • 2026: USA, Mexico, Canada

  • 2030: Portugal, Spain, Morocco (+ 1 game each in Uruguay, Argentina, Paraguay)

  • 2034: Saudi Arabia

FIFA currently use a rule where a confederation (broadly speaking a continent, though there are some exceptions, e.g. Australia compete in the Asian confederation AFC rather than Oceania's confederation OFC) cannot host a World Cup if they have hosted either of the past two tournaments. By those rules, the 2038 World Cup will be limited to either CONCACAF (North America) or OFC (Oceania), though this would likely mean repeating some or all of the 2026 hosts, as the remaining countries lack the infrastructure to host such a big tournament. Of course, FIFA could change the rules to allow a different host or hosts.

This market will be based on which countries, confederation, regions etc. actually host at least one game of the 2038 World Cup (being awarded the tournament is not sufficient, as a country may end up pulling out of hosting, which happened with Colombia for the 1986 World Cup). If the tournament is delayed but still referred to as the 2038 World Cup (like UEFA Euro 2020), then that will count. If the tournament is cancelled completely, this market will resolve N/A.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy