Will Manifold Markets have a Wikipedia page this year? | Manifold Markets

Will Manifold Markets have a Wikipedia page this year?

2024

52

70%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if Manifold Markets has a Wikipedia page (non-draft and not in the articles for deletion) before the end of the yea.

I will wait until January7 for resolution, and the page has to still be there for me to resolve YES

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JAAMis predicting NO at 80%

Other markets for a wikipedia page earlier:

JAAMis predicting NO at 69%

Related:

Brian T. Edwards sold Ṁ8 YES at 70%

Turbo created limit order for Ṁ100 YES at 70%

Wobbles bought Ṁ80 NO from 76% to 70%

Wobbles sold Ṁ109 YES from 78% to 76%

Lavander bought Ṁ4 YES at 78%

Turbo bought Ṁ40 YES from 77% to 78%

Max Bittker sold Ṁ39 NO from 75% to 77%

Kenneth Myers bought Ṁ10 YES from 74% to 75%

Yitz bought Ṁ20 NO from 76% to 74%

Jim Hays bought Ṁ10 NO from 77% to 76%

Anonymouse bought Ṁ30 YES from 76% to 77%

Dmytro Bulatov bought Ṁ5 YES at 76%

eulerphi bought Ṁ10 YES at 76%

Gabrielle sold Ṁ15 YES at 76%

Mira bought Ṁ50 NO from 80% to 76%

Jim Hays bought Ṁ10 NO at 80%

Nico D bought Ṁ30 YES at 80%

Dmytro Bulatov bought Ṁ10 YES at 80%

David Bravo Comas bought Ṁ50 YES from 79% to 80%

Brian T. Edwards bought Ṁ10 YES from 78% to 79%

John Smith bought Ṁ10 YES at 78%

JAAM bought Ṁ10 NO from 79% to 78%

Chase Gomes bought Ṁ10 YES at 79%

Daniel Balchev bought Ṁ10 YES at 79%

Turbo bought Ṁ25 YES from 78% to 79%

Lucie Philippon bought Ṁ10 YES at 78%

Fedor Beets bought Ṁ30 YES from 77% to 78%

Shaked Koplewitz bought Ṁ10 YES from 76% to 77%

John Cunningham bought Ṁ5 YES at 76%

Gustavo bought Ṁ10 YES at 76%

Yoav bought Ṁ20 NO from 78% to 76%

JAAM bought Ṁ10 NO from 79% to 78%

Primer bought Ṁ30 YES from 78% to 79%

audrey sold Ṁ10 YES from 79% to 78%

audrey bought Ṁ10 YES from 78% to 79%

Old meme bought Ṁ11 YES at 78%

JAAM sold Ṁ17 NO from 76% to 78%

Tegwick bought Ṁ10 YES at 76%

firstuserhere sold Ṁ9 YES at 76%

prigoryan bought Ṁ10 YES at 76%

Charlie bought Ṁ10 YES from 75% to 76%

Forrest Taylor bought Ṁ20 NO from 78% to 75%

Gill Amberstine bought Ṁ10 YES from 77% to 78%

firstuserhere bought Ṁ10 YES at 77%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ7 NO at 77% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 NO at 78% (cancelled)

Danny Tran bought Ṁ100 YES from 74% to 79%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ12/Ṁ13 NO at 74% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ11/Ṁ100 NO at 76% (cancelled)

Wobbles bought Ṁ107 YES from 72% to 78%

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Will Manifold Markets have a Wikipedia page before the end of spring?27%

Will Manifold Markets have a Wikipedia page before the end of summer?57%

Will the Proof School yearbook contain the phrase "Manifold Markets"?91%

Will Manifold Markets outlive PredictionBook?80%