Will 5 or more World Cup markets remain closed but unresolved by January 1st, 2023?
15
290Ṁ19k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if 5 or more of the current World Cup markets (https://manifold.markets/group/2022-fifa-world-cup) are closed but remain unresolved by the start of next year.

I will check to make sure that only markets created before today are counted. I will count them the first time that I see manifold in the year. If you want you can also post a screenshot of this market being closed and the list of unresolved markets and I'll resolve based on that.

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predictedNO

Only 3 markets remain closed but unresolved, so I'm resolving NO

Only 4 remaining markets are closing on the 31st, and there are currently no markets closed but unresolved, so there cannot be 5 or more markets closed but unresolved tomorrow, and I'm resolving this market as NO

predictedNO

@egroj I mean closed but unresolved on January 1st

predictedNO

@egroj I guess some of the markets that are closing afterwards could change the closing date for tomorrow, very unlikely but I'll leave the resolution for January 1st

Will you count this market?

predictedYES

@Yev no

predictedNO

I'd like to know your timezone to determine which markets close on Jan 1st compared to Dec 31st

predictedYES

@Cutie Eastern Time

This can resolve :)

@Cutie More markets could close in the future, though, right?

predictedYES

@Cutie There are many open markets that will close, so seems like this can't resolve yet.

@NeonNuke Yeah ur right, sorry

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