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MANIFOLD
When will Waymo or an equivalent be generally available in chicago.
3
Ṁ125Ṁ85
2031
July 8, 2028
62%
Before 2027
71%
Before 2028
71%
Before 2029
75%
Before 2030
50%
2030 or later

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the date on which a fully autonomous (driverless, with no safety driver in the front seat) commercial ride-hailing service becomes generally available to the public within the city limits of Chicago, Illinois.

  • "Generally available" means that any member of the general public (residents or visitors) can download the operating company's app, request a ride, and complete a trip without being restricted by a waitlist, an employee-only policy, or non-disclosure agreements (NDAs).

  • Eligible providers include Waymo or any equivalent autonomous ride-hailing competitor (such as Tesla Robotaxi, Cruise, or Zoox).

  • Resolution Source: The market will resolve based on official company press releases (e.g., Waymo News), local municipal announcements from the City of Chicago, or coverage from reputable news organizations (such as the Chicago Tribune or Axios Chicago).

Background

In February 2026, Waymo officially announced that it was starting manual mapping and testing in Chicago to lay the groundwork for future operations. To support these efforts, Illinois lawmakers introduced the Autonomous Vehicle Pilot Project Act to create a regulatory framework for testing in Cook County. Additionally, Tesla Robotaxi test vehicles have been spotted testing in Chicago as of mid-2026.

Currently, no driverless ride-hailing services are authorized to operate commercially or are generally available to the public in Chicago.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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