Will Charlie Munger Die this year
35
195
690
resolved Nov 28
Resolved
YES

Mar 6, 4:59am: Will Charlie Munger Die in 2023 → Will Charlie Munger Die this year

Get Ṁ200 play money

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sold Ṁ500 of YES

⚠Creator Account Is Deleted

📢Market Is Closed By Mod, Upon News.
📢Resolves YES

If anyone does not like how quick I handled this market, please let me know your honest thoughts. Thank you.

@SirCryptomind poor guy isn't even cold yet and this resolved; well done!

i was a few minutes late

stoic finance turtle will live to 200

predicted YES
bought Ṁ10 of YES

Why are you guys buying NO he is literlly 100 years old

bought Ṁ5 of NO

@eacc <10 months left this year and even w/o looking at the actuarial table, I don't think odds of dying per year at that age is >50%

predicted NO

@eacc also, he's Charlie fucking Munger

bought Ṁ5 of NO

@eacc but now I did look and I am right; odds per year @ 99: 0.331550 x 5/6 of the year left = 28% odds. But he's mentally engaged in a job and by all accounts a healthy lump of melted wax, so I would put it at 22-26%.

predicted YES

He is pretty Stoic TBH, he has terrible problems with his vision, he even planned to learn bralie if he were to go blind, very motivational guy

sold Ṁ11 of NO

@eacc yeah, guy is a trooper, will hold 1 share in solidarity with him. I gonna plow my little 5 minute gain here into more speculative Academy Award gambles

bought Ṁ5 of NO

@AlQuinn Also, he doesn't have many age spots.

predicted YES
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