Will the last vessel from the Global Sumud Flotilla make it to Gaza?
3
100Ṁ615
2026
2%
chance

The Global Sumud Flotilla began in late September 2025. As of October 2, 2025 all but one vessel ("Marinette") is intercepted according to the official tracker (corroborated by Israeli statements).

Resolves YES if "Marinette" arrives at the Gaza Strip without being intercepted before October 9, 2025 at midnight UTC, and NO otherwise. I'll use the tracker as the source of truth, but if not I will try to use the news as a backup.

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