LMArena announces monetization by mid-2026?
5
100Ṁ402026
54%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
lmarena.ai (formerly chat.lmsys.org) is a website for you to compare LLM responses. It was launched in 2023 at UC Berkeley, separated in September 2024, became a company in April 2025, and raised a $100M funding round in May 2025.
Resolves YES if lmarena.ai implements any sustainable form of monetization or revenue generation by June 30, 2026, and NO otherwise. "Sustainable form" means that it keeps on generating revenue repeatedly (i.e. one-off funding doesn't count). This could include (but is by no means limited to!) things like fees, subscriptions, advertisements, or sponsorships.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Meta's Llama family of models reach 2 billion downloads by September 30, 2025?
75% chance
Which Monetization Strategy Will Generate the Most Revenue for Ten Today?
Will it be revealed that Meta has indeed been using the phone mic to generate more targeted ads by end of 2025?
1% chance
Will Anthropic achieve a revenue run rate of at least X by end of 2026?
Will meta announce Its shutting down its metaverse by the end of 2026?
32% chance
Will Twitter claim to be profitable before 2027?
63% chance
Will OpenAI achieve a revenue run rate of at least X by end of 2026?
Will Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?
16% chance