I don't know if I actually want to get distracted by this but I'm still pretty enamored with the ideas I presented in the following post/talk about quantifying and tracking personal reliability:

https://blog.beeminder.com/commitstew

Quantified Self Talk: Tracking My Personal Reliability

On 2018-09-22 I gave a talk at the Quantified Self conference. This is that talk. You can also see an actual recording of it. I got a lot of encouragement afterwards about how people had a kind of lightbulb moment from it, which was nice to hear, and prompted me to say “I’ll turn it into a blog post”....

FAQ

1. Does it have to Pareto-dominate the old system?

No. [I intend to say more to characterize what counts as capturing the core functionality of the old system.]

2. Does it count if...?

[Ask questions in the comments and we'll get these things clarified!]

Resolution Criteria

This resolves YES if, in my judgment, said resurrection happens in 2024. I won't bet in this market and will add FAQ items for clarifying questions as they arise.