If it's janky but it works, that still counts as YES.
Blurb for Beeminder's Manifest booth:
Beeminder is like a Manifold market where you ask "will I finish this project?" and then buy a lot of YES shares to incentivize yourself to make the answer be yes. Like an assassination market for personal productivity and fitness. Also it involves lots of graphs.
There's a bit of a learning curve but if you stop by and convert some mana into honey money, we'll walk you through picking a beemindable metric for your goal and setting up a graph.
Background: https://forum.beeminder.com/t/honey-money-faq/11118?u=dreev
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So we are betting on whether the event is possible, not whether it occurs?
transfer mana to honey money and vice versa
Also I am reading transfer as 'exchange' such as a currency exchange. Would this be an appropriate vocabulary substitution?
In this context "event" is "currency exchange between mana and honey money".
@ShitakiIntaki Good question. Let's say it has to occur to show it's possible, but also I intend to try it myself so we can say negligible probability mass on it being possible and not occurring.
And yes, the idea is you transfer some mana, say M$100, via managram to Beeminder and get the equivalent amount of honey money, H$1, in your Beeminder account. And it needs to work in the other direction as well.
@dreev interesting so automated exchange broker, not manned.
How are you correlating accounts? Is it on the fly, al a cart, or validated 1 to 1 relationship?
Shirk-n-turking is allowed as long as users can't tell the difference.
For correlating accounts the plan is that you specify your Beeminder username in the managram / specify your Manifold username in the honeygram. So no validation -- it's up to the user to transfer their mana/honey to the right Beeminder/Manifold account.
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