Which company will let me read a book while driving in a private car in 2025?
15
1.1kṀ3155
2026
14%
Tesla
12%
[Other]
10%
Comma.ai
7%
Toyota
5%
Waymo

This is a generalization of the following market:

https://manifold.markets/dreev/will-commaai-let-me-read-a-book-whi#

It can resolve early. Note that Waymo is there technology-wise, but they'd have to make their tech available in private cars.

  • Update 2025-03-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:

    • Threshold Definition: The criteria for what counts is defined by the guidelines on this market.

    • Current Signal: That market currently indicates an 86% chance that all options resolving for this event in 2025 will resolve NO.

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