Will this question have less than 50% of « Yes » answer ?
Will this question close at exactly 13% at the end of 2023?
Will the 2,000th trade for this question be purchased or sold between 45% and 55%
What will be my p(doom) on December 1? (resolves to %)
What percentage of Milky Way stars have >0 planets?
What percentage of the Seattle EA Book Club will have read the material when we meet on 30 November?
Will the percent of this bet be above 50 percent?
What percentage of planets with life will develop intelligent life (civilisation)?
This question will resolve at whatever percentage it's at, resolves at any time (PLEASE READ DESCRIPTION)
Banh Mi Chuoi
What % of their deposits will the typical FTX depositor with less than $100k get back? Resolves to %
What proportion of John von Neumann clones aged 20 or older will identify as LGBTQ+?
Will I yield more than a half pound for my first grow?
By 2025, will Paul Christiano have updated his P(AGI doom) to over 50%?
WW3? Ray Dalio, knowitall majordomo of Bridgewater says odds went from 35% to 50%. What say you Manifold? Lower? Higher?
What % of alignment forum karma will be pro-interpetability vs anti this year?
resolves to % of items i complete on my bucket list
Will the portion of relationships starting on dating apps peak above 80%?
Will you guess the entity in 100 questions? Round 1, 66% truthrate
Will 100 or more people bet on this question?
Will the portion of relationships starting on dating apps peak above 70%?