What fraction of Beeminder/Manifold goals will be do-more?

9

Ṁ171Ṁ190

2024

81%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Amount

Ṁ0

Ṁ50

Ṁ100

Payout if YES

Ṁ12 +23%

New probability

82% +0.8%

See the companion market:

https://manifold.markets/dreev/how-many-beeminder-goals-will-peopl-6d3ad5be8763

This resolves-to-PROB for the fraction of Beeminder goals that are committing to bet *more* on Manifold as opposed to committing to bet *less*.

Get Ṁ500 play money

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