Does a vaccinated person with mild symptoms and inconsistent rapid test results have Covid?
6
103Ṁ350
resolved Aug 23
Resolved as
87%
This is a hypothetical question auxiliary to https://manifold.markets/dreev/does-faire-actually-have-covid-afte but I intend to resolve it to a probability based on the most convincing case I hear. Suppose someone presents with a scratchy throat, mild cough, and slightly runny nose. They take 4 antigen rapid tests and 2 come back positive and 2 come back negative. What is the probability that they have Covid?
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