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Ok they've issued me a proper ticket now, seems safe to assume I'm flying.

Enjoy the flight

@Tarl ty 🫡

@nikki @DanHomerick why hold yes? I'd have assumed this was <50% but haven't been in this situation before

@draaglom Assuming ~170 seats total and a 5% no-show rate it should be pretty likely that you'll get on. but that's without knowing what level of overbooking they do

@Tarl I had no idea the no show rate was so high!

@draaglom expertflyer showed 2 seats

@nikki aha I thought there might be some pro user tech for this, ty

@draaglom in my case, I didn't look up how many seats it had, or know what the no-show rates are, I'm just an optimist 🤣

I did know that slightly overbooking flights is a thing some airlines do, and assumed that it must usually work out, though.

Ok, there's one other person who has been given a standby ticket.