Will OpenAI's Superalignment team publish any paper towards its goal in 2024?
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Dec 31
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OpenAI's Superalignment team had one research output (Weak-to-Strong Generalization: Eliciting Strong Capabilities With Weak Supervision) in 2023.

Any similar preprint resolves YES.

If they have writeups which do not look like something that would fare well if submitted to a top conference, but do contain something of research value (such as Anthropic's interp team monthly updates), I reserve the right to resolve to a percentage.

Papers that are not about the initially stated Superalignment agenda do not resolve this question either way. If the Superalignment team stops existing in the form it was originally set up, this resolves NO. If the agenda is rebranded to be about issues that appear in the shorter or longer term than the initial scope, this resolves NO even if they then publish a paper on that.

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