Leopold Aschenbrenner, in his Dwarkesh Patel interview, mentioned the following:
> I've heard from multiple people — not from my time at OpenAI, and I haven't seen the memo — that at some point several years ago, OpenAI leadership had laid out a plan to fund and sell AGI by starting a bidding war between the governments of the United States, China, and Russia.

This resolves Yes if, before 2035, we get sufficient evidence corroborating the claim that at least two people in the OpenAI leadership discussed a plan involving selling to or raising funds from the Russian government, after 2014. For a Yes resolution, simply saying "we won't sell to the Russian government" is not enough; they need to discuss it without dismissing as unethical or bad in other ways.

The definition of "OpenAI leadership" is subjective, but generally involves executives and big team leads at the time, and people who had become executives no later than two years after when the discussion/memo happens. If it's fuzzy, I reserve the right to resolve a percentage.

Sufficient evidence: at least one person who participated in writing the document or in the conversation saying this publicly, or two people who saw the document or listened to the conversation.