2024-2025 NBA Playoffs First round prop bets
62
4.8kṀ65k
resolved May 5
Resolved
YES
A top 2 seed is upset
Resolved
NO
A player scores at least 55 points
Resolved
YES
SGA *or* Giannis lead in PPG
Resolved
NO
Warriors lose
Resolved
NO
A team comes back from 2 games down to win the series
Resolved
NO
Curry outscores Jokic (PPG)
Resolved
NO
A team fumbles a 15+ point lead in Nuggs/Clips G7 or Rockets/Warriors G6
Resolved
NO
Kawhi plays at least 80% of all first round minutes for the Clippers
Resolved
YES
Harden O7.5 assists in Nuggets/Clips G7
Resolved
YES
Westbrook makes at least 2 threes in G7
Resolved
NO
At least 3 upsets
Resolved
NO
Jokic leads in PPG+APG
Resolved
NO
Nuggets lose
Resolved
YES
Jokic averages a triple double
Resolved
NO
Nuggets - Clippers G7 is decided in clutch time i.e score difference <= 5 points with 5 minutes left
Resolved
YES
Kawhi outscores Jokic in Nuggets - Clips G7
Resolved
NO
Jamal Murray O24.5 points in G7
Resolved
NO
Jokic triple double in G7
Resolved
NO
Over 4.5 overtimes
Resolved
NO
Draymond Green tech in Rockets/Warriors G6)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_NBA_playoffs?useskin=vector#First_round

  • Update 2025-04-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:

    • Time Requirement: The market will be resolved based on a total of more than 10 minutes played across the entire series.

  • Update 2025-04-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Upsets Determination Update:

    • The count of upsets will be determined based on seeding, not on betting odds.

  • Update 2025-05-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Based on a comment thread discussion, the calculation for "all first round minutes" for the Clippers will include any overtime minutes played in the series when determining the percentage of minutes played by Kawhi Leonard.

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bought Ṁ1,172 NO

Curry and Jokic both scored 168 (24.0 PPG). So resolves NO

warriors blowing another 3-1 lead

sold Ṁ412 YES

first round is almost over so i added some new rockets/warriors g6 and nuggs g7 props @traders. enjoy!

Kawhi has played 231.4 minutes in the series so far which is exactly 80.35% of the total available minutes...fine margins

@dlin007 Game 1 had overtime so it should be 293 total minutes.

@travis ah, good catch. so he's slightly below 80%, not above it

bought Ṁ849 YES

Total series point differential in Knicks - Pistons is Knicks +8

@dlin007 fastest resolution ever haha

bought Ṁ50 NO

taking mana from delusional Laker fans

bought Ṁ60 YES

@dlin007 resolves YES, Curry scored 31 in first game + 20 in second game + 36 in third game which is 87 total

@bence don't be a nerd bence

Celebrity gif. At an awards show in the audience, Jonah Hill shakes his head and motions with his hand to his throat in a "cut it out" motion.

reposted

my hater prediction of the Lakers/Nuggets/Warriors to all lose isn't going great...maybe I should start betting the opposite of what i want to happen

@dlin007 impeccable Lakers hatewatch ✅

bought Ṁ30 YES

@dlin007 (Nico was right, just early)

sad!

@dlin007 is this based on seed or betting odds?

Warriors favored over Rockets and Clippers (barely) favored over Nuggets (not sure that counts cause Nuggets opened as the favorite then Clippers were like 52% favorites entering game 1)

@dlin007 i should clarify this means >10 mins across the entire series

My special contrarian prediction for the first round is Warriors are going to lose quite easily

bought Ṁ20 NO

@dlin007 wanna define some terms for “easily”? Like, would you place odds on Warriors win 2 or fewer games? (Truly “easily” might be 1 or fewer but it’s tough, some 4-2s are ez and some are hard fought)

(I am basically getting caught up on the season now so have no real insight but I believe yours is indeed the contrarian position so I’d blindly take the mainstream one)

@Ziddletwix "expert predictions"

warriors are also ~60% favorites on oddschecker

my prediction is they lose in 6 games or less, and that my subjective judgement is they lost easily. bunch of ways to quantify that e.g point differential, time spent leading, prediction market odds trends etc

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