MANIFOLD
UEFA Champions League Playoff Prop Bets, Feb 17th-Feb 25th
7
Ṁ1.6kṀ346
Feb 25
72%
2 (or more) penalty goals
65%
1+ Own Goals scored
65%
At least one penalty shootout
59%
Goal in the first 5 minutes of any game
59%
Stoppage time winner
55%
3 (or more) Players get red cards (in any fashion)
55%
A penalty is missed or saved by the goalkeeper
53%
Stoppage time equalizer
50%
2 (or more) 0-0 draws
45%
A player scores a hat trick
45%
Team scores 5 goals in one match
45%
2 (or more) come-from-behind wins in second leg of the playoff
45%
7+ cards in a single match
45%
From 2 goals down to level during a match
45%
7+ goals in a single match
41%
5 (or more) draws

Playoffs to advance round of 16 in UEFA champions league. This prop market is applicable for the entire playoff series of 16 matches (both legs)

All bets should be written in a way that can be resolved once the final game is complete.

Submit your own responses, but try to keep them unique and stick to the existing markets for any bets on the outcome of specific games. I reserve the right to N/A any options (e.g. if they're too duplicative or subjective).

I'll do my best to resolve options quickly and accurately. You're encouraged to provide evidence in the comments to assist with this.

Some nuances:

  • first 5 mins resolves based on official scoreline; anything with 5’or less counts.

  • Stoppage time winner: Stoppage time goal means a goal scored at 91+’ (including 91) or later on the official scoresheet; Winner means a goal scored when the scores were tied, if and only if that team goes on to win the match.

  • Stoppage time equalizer: An Equalizer means a goal scored to tie the game, regardless of whether the game ends up being a tie. If a team scores an equalizer and then a winner during stoppage time, both (equalizer and winner) options will resolve yes.

  • Score 5 goals would include own goals, anything on the final scoreline for a given team (4-1 where the 1 is an OG doesn’t count); more than 5 counts

  • Cards markets refer to cards given to active players (no coaches or players on bench; a card given to a player as they’re being subbed out will count)

  • 7+ cards: straight red counts as 1, but both cards count if player gets 2 yellows

  • If Haaland, Mbappe, and Kane do not play in any of the games, then their scoring question resolves N/A

  • Come from behind wins in second leg means a team is behind after the first leg of the series but comes back to win and advance in second leg of the series.

In general, official scoring if there is ambiguity. Ask if you see other edge worth mentioning.

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