https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Candidates_Tournament_2024?useskin=vector

The 2024 Candidates Tournament will be an eight-player chess tournament, held to determine the challenger for the 2024 World Chess Championship match.

The highest rated player in the January 2024 rating list who has not yet qualified for the Candidates or World Championship, and has participated in four FIDE Circuit classical events, will qualify to the Candidates. The current leader among eligible players is GM Wesley So. However, GM Alireza Firouzja is expected to become eligible for qualification, and is rated higher than So.

Wesley also has an outside shot of qualifying via the FIDE circuit - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_FIDE_Circuit

This market resolves YES if Wesley So qualifies for the FIDE Candidates tournament directly i.e without some other qualifier indicating that they'll drop out opening up a spot for Wesley

It resolves NO if he does not qualify via either the FIDE rating path or the FIDE Grand Prix circuit tournaments.

If the FIDE Candidates Tournament is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or significantly altered due to force majeure or other extraordinary circumstances, the market may be declared void.

Resolution Date: The market will be resolved on January 1st 2024 after FIDE publishes its monthly rating list