ok now he is ranked world number 5 @danwahl

@diadematus 😅

dunno where you got that image @danwahl ...he's still #8

Took the screenshot myself at 17:10 GMT. It was stable at that ranking for ~30 minutes. I suspect it was a bug on 2700chess, but I still think this should resolve YES or N/A based on market resolution criteria.

@danwahl nah, the intent of the market is pretty clear and i'm not going to resolve it based on some edge case.

@diadematus it does seem pretty clear: "This market resolves YES if Abdusattorov is ranked sole 5th or higher on 2700chess.com classical ratings at any point in 2024."

This criteria was definitely met. If you want more evidence of the ranking I can try to gather some.

It'd be different if it said something like "is ranked sole 5th or higher given the criteria that 2700chess.com purports to use for its classical rankings" or whatever. But it's pretty explicit that the site itself "at any point" is the source of truth.

FWIW I think it's well a pretty well written market overall! But I do think you have to handle this edge case (including other scenarios where you might not see changes on the site).

@danwahl the keyword here is "ranked" which has a subjective meaning that's not just "listed as". if FIDE released a monthly rating list with you listed as world number 1 nobody would think you're "ranked" world number 1. this is not even a legitimate edge case but more like a pedantic point that makes no sense in the spirit of the market. At any rate, Abdusattorov will be making top 5 very shortly and making all of this moot.

@diadematus I definitely recommend including something like this in future markets, so that the criteria better matches your spirit/intent

related market for Pragg: https://manifold.markets/diadematus/will-praggnanandhaa-r-be-ranked-in

related market for Keymer: https://manifold.markets/diadematus/will-vincent-keymer-be-ranked-in-th-7ae0579912dd