https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Candidates_Tournament_2024

Resolves YES if Nijat Abasov competes in full in the Candidates tournament and wins at least one game. Resolves NO otherwise and N/A if he doesn't play 14 games or the tournament is postponed/cancelled/adjourned

See also: https://manifold.markets/diadematus/how-many-games-will-nijat-abasov-lo