Manifold Star Finder 💫🕵️‍♂️ - Which influencer, artist, etc with <5k followers today will reach 50k followers by 2026?
Mini
4
450
2027
50%
Lindy (@getlindy on X)
50%
Josh Altman (joshdaltman on LinkedIn)
34%
Steve Hawkins (@steelmanstudio1 on YouTube, @sphawkins on X)
24%
Jam.dev (@jamdotdev on X)
24%
Turpentine Media (@turpentinemedia on X and YouTube)
10%
@CharlieMoComedy (Instagram, TikTok, YouTube)

Think you’ve discovered the next big star/company/brand? Let the world know about them here on Manifold and be rewarded for it! 🤑

How to play:

  1. Add any social media handle from Instagram, YouTube, X, TikTok, LinkedIn, or Twitch with fewer than 5k followers/subscribers as an answer on this market. Indicate the handle(s) and platform(s) to be used for resolution in your answer.

  2. Comment on this market with proof (ie screenshot) that your selected social media handle(s) has fewer than 5k followers/subscribers, or give me within the week to verify myself in the comments.

  3. Any answer reaching 50k followers/subscribers on any platform listed in the answer before January 1st, 2026 will resolve YES. Any that don’t will resolve NO. Answers unable to be verified as having <5k followers/subscribers at time of entry will resolve N/A.

Consider artists, bands, athletes, comedians, influencers, brands, companies/startups, politicians, thought leaders, funny/talented friend, or any other online personality that you think will blow up in popularity.

Other platform suggestions welcomed. Follower/subscriber count must be publicly verifiable. I welcome commenters to let me know when an answer has crossed the 50k threshold, otherwise I’ll check myself in 2026. Accounts that change their handles after posting are allowed; let me know in comments so I can update the answer.

Happy scouting!

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
Josh Altman (joshdaltman on LinkedIn)
bought Ṁ50 Josh Altman (joshdal... NO
Lindy (@getlindy on X)
Turpentine Media (@turpentinemedia on X and YouTube)
Jam.dev (@jamdotdev on X)
Steve Hawkins (@steelmanstudio1 on YouTube, @sphawkins on X)
bought Ṁ100 Steve Hawkins (@stee... NO
@CharlieMoComedy (Instagram, TikTok, YouTube)

Confirmed <5k subs. I just gave you one more though! Good luck!

@dglid Thanks! Gonna need it! 😅

If there's Instagram, TikTok and YouTube, do you need to submit a separate answer for each one? (I think easier to just lump them all together and it goes YES if any of the three make it.)

@Charlie Good point. I’ll update the description.

@Charlie updated. How does that read?

@dglid Yeah that works!