Resolves to "Yes" if I start dating someone new at any point this year.
Context (March 30): I recently broke up with a girlfriend I dated for most of a year due to not wanting to do long-distance. I'm currently in Providence but will move to rural Vermont in a couple months. I’m not on any dating apps currently nor am I super actively looking but would definitely be open to dating someone cool who I met in person.
Update (June 29): I moved to Vermont at the start of the month. The aforementioned ex-girlfriend is also in Vermont for the summer and we started dating again! However she is moving back to Providence in two months and I don't expect us to continue dating past that point.
Update 2 (August 18): She's gone and I am single again
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Thanks to all 79 traders for taking an interest in (or idly speculating on) my dating life! I think the odds of meeting anyone new were pretty low given I spent ⅔ of the relevant period in rural Vermont, but I plan to be in either the Boston or SF Bay areas for the large majority of 2024, so hopefully I will have a better shot.
@jskf Yeah I might've phrased it "will I date someone new in 2023", but I did write that explicitly as the resolution criterion so I think it was clear enough. (I also did not think this was a high probability outcome at the time of market creation.)
@derikk It's clear enough for your choice to not resolve to be valid. Regardless, the market would be significantly higher quality if you used the word "new" in the title.
@ES221712 Right now, not very. But it is something that is important to me longer term and I don’t want to rely on chance for it. I’m a college student and so meeting a decent number of people, but I expect this number will go down after I graduate in a couple months.
@levifinkelstein That’s hard for me to answer objectively; I’d say above median but beyond that I don’t know