Resolution criteria
This market will resolve based on the official "Opening Weekend" domestic box office gross (Friday through Sunday) for Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu (2026) as reported by Box Office Mojo.
Less than $80 M: Opening weekend gross is < $80,000,000.
$80M – $89.9M: Opening weekend gross is ≥ $80,000,000 and < $90,000,000.
$90M – $99.9M: Opening weekend gross is ≥ $90,000,000 and < $100,000,000.
$100M – $109.9M: Opening weekend gross is ≥ $100,000,000 and < $110,000,000.
$110M or more: Opening weekend gross is ≥ $110,000,000.
If the film's release is canceled, delayed indefinitely, or fails to receive a wide domestic theatrical release, the market will resolve N/A. The "Domestic" figures refer specifically to the United States and Canada box office results.
Background
Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu is an upcoming feature film directed by Jon Favreau, serving as a cinematic continuation of the The Mandalorian television series. As the first Star Wars film since 2019's The Rise of Skywalker to hit theaters, its opening performance is a significant indicator for the franchise's theatrical health. Box office tracking and final figures are subject to variability based on marketing intensity, critical reception, and overall market conditions at the time of release.
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