Will John Duarte (CA-13) be re-elected to Congress?
Will John Duarte (CA-13) be re-elected to Congress?
12
1kṀ12kresolved Dec 4
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
John Duarte, farmer and businessman, is a Republican congressman representing the 13th district of California.
Ongoing count: https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/races/california-us-house-all-parties-general-election-13
Resolves when the hardworking poll officials of California finish their count (or recounts) and official results are announced
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ678 | |
| 2 | Ṁ374 | |
| 3 | Ṁ140 | |
| 4 | Ṁ87 | |
| 5 | Ṁ39 |
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Dan Crenshaw Be Reelected?
44% chance
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 28th State Senate district
Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 10th State Senate district
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 38th State Senate district
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 2nd State Senate district
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district