Will Apple stock (AAPL) fully break $190 before $170? (yet again!)
Will Apple stock (AAPL) fully break $190 before $170? (yet again!)
37
740Ṁ58k
resolved Apr 2
Resolved
NO

Last price: 2024-Mar-28 $171.48

(will try to update meaningful moves after Nasdaq close)

Resolves after the first regular (9:30am-4pm ET) or half-day (1pm early close around some US holidays) Nasdaq trading session since market creation (2024-Mar-01) during which the price stays above $190 (YES) or below $170 (NO) for the whole session. In other words, the first time one of these is the case after Nasdaq close:

Resolves YES if AAPL intraday low > $190

Resolves NO if AAPL intraday high < $170

Will extend closing date as needed. Reference is publicly-quoted intraday high/low, adjusted for any future stock splits (e.g. if it splits 2:1 at $180 then quoted prices next day would be $90 post split but would not cause it to resolve NO since reference price for this market would be x2)

Economics
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Apple
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bought Ṁ4,622 NO1y

@traders resolves NO

See next market in prior comment.

1y

@deagol Are you going to make the same market when it surpass $170 again?

1y

@esusatyo @traders it's like we're trapped here!

1y

$169.35 pre-market so pulled in the close. Totally not trying to jinx it. ;)

sold Ṁ0 NO

@traders Today’s high so far (3h to close) $169.78, current $169.10. Hence I pulled in the close as a heads up.

1y

might as well get a head start…

sold Ṁ46 NO1y

@traders well nevermind that, I guess I jinxed it for the NO’s 😝

bought Ṁ1,000 NO1y

@deagol I dare you, please dont jinx it today 🥺

bought Ṁ20 YES from 5% to 6% 1y
bought Ṁ20 YES1y

@Lion You gotta bet big. It’s not going to be a NO today.

1y

@esusatyo It currently is at $169.46. I feel like 5% is a fair probability with the current news.

1y

@Lion Yep fair enough. Hope it recovers though.

1y

@Lion what news?

1y

@deagol lol, "news", FED not cutting rates

@Lion like, ever?! 😳 oh of course, Nothing Ever Happens™

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