Will the Canadian government announce a national housing deregulation policy before July 18, 2025?
3
100Ṁ180
Jul 18
28%
chance
11

Mark Carney has emphasized the need to cut red tape and reduce fees to accelerate housing construction. (markcarney.ca) This market resolves to 'Yes' if the Canadian federal government officially announces a nationwide policy aimed at deregulating housing construction before July 18, 2025. Official announcements from the Government of Canada will serve as the resolution source.

  • Update 2025-06-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator specified what types of policies would or would not count as deregulation.

The policy must focus on removing existing regulatory barriers rather than creating new government interventions (e.g., financial incentives).

Examples of policies that would count:

  • Eliminating or reducing zoning restrictions, height/density limits, development charges, parking requirements, or rent control.

  • Streamlining permitting processes.

Examples of policies that would NOT count:

  • New tax incentives or subsidies (including resurrecting the MURB allowance).

  • Increased government spending on housing.

  • New programs for first-time buyers.

  • Update 2025-06-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A federal policy that uses funding to incentivize or require municipalities to implement deregulation will count towards a 'Yes' resolution. The key factor is that the policy's outcome is genuine regulatory reform (e.g., removing zoning restrictions), as opposed to being purely a financial subsidy without attached requirements.

  • Update 2025-06-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A federal policy that uses funding to incentivize or require municipalities to implement deregulation (such as the Housing Affordability Fund) will count towards a 'Yes' resolution.

The key factor is that the policy's outcome must be genuine regulatory reform (e.g., removing zoning restrictions), not simply a financial subsidy without such requirements.

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