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MANIFOLD
Will Yevgeny Prigozhin seek asylum in a country other than Russia by December 31, 2023?
9
Ṁ170Ṁ15k
resolved Sep 2
Resolved
NO

  • Resolution Criteria: The market resolves to YES if there are credible news reports confirming that Yevgeny Prigozhin has sought asylum in a country other than Russia on or before December 31, 2023. The market resolves to NO if no such reports are available by the specified date.

Market context
Politics
Ukraine-Russia war
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@d what do u think? I'd say it is probably okay to resolve, worst case we can unresolve it later

@DavidChee Sounds good! Was waiting for some conspiracy theories to arise 👀 but if anything happens we can unresolve :)

predictedNO

The deaths of Prigojine market resolved, so this should too.

Google translated Russian State News source: https://ria-ru.translate.goog/20230823/samolet-1891840284.html?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp

His plane crashed and he is report dead - unlikely to seek asylum at this point.

Частный самолет разбился в Тверской области, среди пассажиров был Пригожин
Частный самолет Embraer Legacy с десятью людьми на борту упал в Тверской области, сообщили в МЧС. РИА Новости, 23.08.2023

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