18% chance. Inspired on Ben Todd's X post: [tweet]Smoking-gun evidence for modified gravity at low acceleration from Gaia observations of wide binary stars (phys.org) Wil the finding mentioned in this article "have enormous implications for astrophysics, cosmology, and for fundamental physics at large." by the end of 2024? [image]Resolves to the PROB the market is at market close (Dec 31 2024)