How many geometry problems will there be in the 2023-2024 USA TST cycle?
Basic
18
10k
Aug 2
0.1%
<=2
3%
3
93%
4
2%
5
1.3%
>=6

Combinatorial geometry problems don't count. APMO 2023/3 and USAMO 2022/2 are counted as geometry problems (unfortunately). Only contests that contribute to the IMO index count; RMM day 2 doesn't count.

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@traders Whether USAMO 2024/3 counts as geometry is a bit ambiguous. Although I wouldn't usually count it as geometry, it's stated in the market description that USAMO 2022/2 is counted. Both problems involve area in a significant way, though USAMO 2022/2 uses it in a more nontrivial way.

Should I make a poll or N/A this market? (If I make a poll, I'll link this market and mention the connection to USAMO 2022/2.)

Like the above comment for poll, like this comment for N/A.