The IMO cycle here consists of any olympiad test used in the selection of the 2026 IMO (Notably the TSTST, IMO, and AMC / AIME are excluded).
For the purposes of this market, any sufficiently combinatorial geometry problem will not be counted. In general, a geo problem here should
Be theoretically bashable
Have at least one solution involving angle chasing or power of a point
Here, a hard geometry problem, barring extenuating circumstances, will by default coincide with a placement in a non p1/p4 slot on non-APMO tests, and a p3-p5 slot on APMO.
For reference, last year's TST cycle had exactly one hard geometry problem. Namely,
TST 3 is a hard geo problem
TST 4, USAMO 4, APMO 1 are considered too easy.
RMM 1, and USAMO 3 are considered too combinatorial.
TST 5, APMO 2, APMO 4, USAMO 6 are not geometry problems, despite having circles and a grid respectively, as they act in a discrete context.
RMM 3, despite having a geometric visualization, does not qualify as geometry.