Note: All numbers are inclusive. The "0" option is for those who think that USAMTS will remove the qualification for AIME/USA(J)MO altogether. The question is essentially the number of people who qualify for the invitational contests (AIME/USA(J)MO) from USAMTS.

Resolution criteria

• This market resolves to the number of distinct USAMTS Year 37 (2025–2026) contestants who qualify for the AIME via USAMTS. For resolution, “make it to the AMC Series” means meeting USAMTS’s AIME-qualification rule, i.e., a total score at or above the official cutoff for that year (historically ≥68/75). Count all students on the official Year 37 leaderboard who meet the posted AIME cutoff, regardless of whether they also qualified via AMC 10/12 or whether they actually sit the AIME. If a name appears more than once due to corrections, count once. If USAMTS changes the cutoff, use the official 2025–2026 rule.

Background

• USAMTS is a three‑round, proof‑based contest scoring 0–5 per problem (max 75). USAMTS states that students who score at/above its AIME cutoff qualify for the AIME even without AMC 10/12.

• The AIME is the AMC program’s invitational exam following AMC 10/12, leading toward USA(J)MO and MOP.

Considerations

• Prize bands (typical: Gold top 5%, Silver next 7.5%, Bronze next 12.5%, HM next 20%) indicate that the AIME cutoff (e.g., 68 in 2024–25) roughly corresponds to Bronze or higher; actual counts depend on participation and yearly cutoffs. Use the posted Year 37 cutoff when published.