Who will run for the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
➕
Plus
129
Ṁ35k
resolved Aug 7
Resolved
YES
Kamala Harris
Resolved
YES
Marianne Williamson
Resolved
NO
Rashida Tlaib
Resolved
NO
Joe Manchin III
Resolved
NO
Gretchen Whitmer
Resolved
NO
Gavin Newsom
Resolved
NO
Pete Buttigieg
Resolved
NO
Michelle Obama
Resolved
NO
Andrew Yang
Resolved
NO
Bernie Sanders
Resolved
NO
Hillary Clinton

This market is about who is going to announce their intention to earning the nomination to president of the US by the Democratic party. This is not about who earns it.

You can add options.

The market will close on the day the DNC ends.

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@MF looks like these can resolve? the voting is complete, and they formally announced the nominee.

https://apnews.com/article/harris-democratic-presidential-nomination-eb43b6b346cc644b2d195315cb2bfb20

i think these are all NO? but you can determine what's running for nomination

Yes, thank you.

Somebody please link to an explanation. Why is she at 9%? I don't see anything!

@KevinBurke he is older than Biden.

bought Ṁ250 YES

But lucid

I’m not passing judgment, just adding names of people who are being discussed

@KevinBurke no judgement here, I just tagged you because it was automatic.

@robm but his ideas tho

Marianne Williamson has already announced her intention to vie for the nomination since Biden has stepped down. See her campaign website and X profile (also as reported by ABC).

https://marianne2024.com/

https://x.com/marwilliamson/status/1815109799400325392?s=46&t=zybbXJd-Wuw3GPfmbUSRLQ

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-updates/biden-drops-out-updates?id=112113289&entryId=112147114

bought Ṁ50 YES

I look forward to taking my message to the American people, and convincing Democratic delegates, that I am the best candidate to take us to victory in November.
-- Marianne Williamson

@costlySignal Both Harris and Williamson have announced their intent and should resolve YES.

reposted

The more the merrier

bought Ṁ45 NO

@costlySignal Gavin Newsom just endorsed Harris

bought Ṁ700 YES

I think the most likely outcome is that Kamala treats her nomination as a given, not something she's running for, trying to achieve with a possibility of failure.

In that case, she still resolves YES, right?

my intention is to earn and win this nomination

Her initial statement points to the latter.

Okay, thank you. So my question is moot (and my hot take wrong).

bought Ṁ100 NO

Good market

bought Ṁ800 YES

I think there is potential for the Uncommitted movement and other pro-Palestine groups to back an alternative candidate, and the first name that would come up would be Rashida Tlaib.

Created another related market. Who would win the nomination, conditional on throwing their hat in the ring?

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