Will I be at the total eclipse on April 8, 2024?
5
126
130
Apr 9
83%
chance

Resolves YES if I am in the zone where the total solar eclipse is happening, when it is happening over that zone (e.g. if the sun is obscured by clouds, then this market can still resolve YES). Otherwise resolves NO. I have a separate market for whether I will actually see the eclipse, unobscured by clouds.

More details below.


I live in Arlington, Virginia. I was able to snag a cheap room at a hotel in southeast Missouri the night of April 7 that forgot to jack up their prices like everyone else did. I do not intend on spending $350+ on a hotel room, and I imagine it remains possible that they will cancel on me in order to jack up rates (not sure what the law around this is).

I will be driving my old Ford F-150 with a sufficiently large bed that I could easily sleep in it if need be - I have done this plenty of times before. Therefore I have back up options if they do cancel and everything is outrageously expensive. The truck is 2012 model year and does have 160,000+ miles on it and has its fair share of issues, but they are all minor so far.

It's a 14 hour drive each way, so I hope to take days off work sufficient to have 2 days for the drive in each direction. However, the long drive in itself does not phase me; I've frequently driven 10-12 hours in one day, and have also had times I drove 17 and 20 hours straight through.

It's also possible I end up going to Ohio, which is much closer, but has a much worse chance of clear skies.

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@connorwilliams97 are you around? If so, would be great if you could resolve these markets!