If it is obscured by cloud cover I will resolve no. Update 2026-01-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will be traveling to Spain to observe the eclipse.

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 50% chance (0 traders, as of Jan 4, 2026).

I observe the total eclipse on August 12, 2026?

I observe the total eclipse on August 12, 2026?

Ṁ100

Aug 13

50%

chance

ALL

If it is obscured by cloud cover I will resolve no.

Update 2026-01-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will be traveling to Spain to observe the eclipse.

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Booked my tickets to Spain!

Plan to be in Spain, but I haven't booked anything yet