Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun.org/transcripts/oh-no-ross-and-carrie/transcript-oh-no-ross-and-carrie-ep-399-ross-carrie-and-psychics-predict-2024-cancer-cures-and-election-edition/
Ross Blocher: Just like with medicine. Like, the more you can do to prevent illness rather than just treat it. Sure. Yay. She had a prediction of a medical breakthrough. That there would be breakthroughs in the human genome and custom medication based on that knowledge. And she also talked about prosthetics with sensation.
Carrie Poppy: Oh, right! Cool. Okay, cool.
I will resolve according to their evaluation in 2025 ("No" for a zero on their scale, "N/A" for one, and "Yes" for two)
With the podcast ending, I can no longer simply defer to the host's judgements for the resolution. Please vote in this poll if you have thoughts on how I should resolve these markets:
Update 2025-01-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Update:
Recent progress in pharmacogenomics and targeted cancer treatments has been deemed sufficient to resolve this market as Yes.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ2 |
@traders my resolution criteria for this market failed to account for the possibility that we wouldn't get ratings from Ross and Carrie, but with the podcast having ended that now seems pretty likely. Please vote in this poll to let me know if you'd prefer me to use my judgement instead, or just resolve this market N/A.
Either way, I will not trade in this market.