Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun.org/transcripts/oh-no-ross-and-carrie/transcript-oh-no-ross-and-carrie-ep-399-ross-carrie-and-psychics-predict-2024-cancer-cures-and-election-edition/
Carrie Poppy: “[...] The police force will develop new technology to convince people they’re for them but actually militarize further. They’ll claim to protect us against terrorism, and they’re gonna use AI to predict crime patterns but focus on preventing crime rather than punishing criminals.”
Ross Blocher: Hey, precogs, just like in Minority Report. Yeah, that makes us all nervous.
Carrie Poppy: Could go well, could go badly.
Ross Blocher: Yeah, she actually got very excited by that. She’s like, “Yay!” Preventing crime rather than—
Carrie Poppy: Right, than punishing. Sounds good.
I will resolve according to their evaluation in 2025 ("No" for a zero on their scale, "N/A" for one, and "Yes" for two)
With the podcast ending, I can no longer simply defer to the host's judgements for the resolution. Please vote in this poll if you have thoughts on how I should resolve these markets:
1,000
3.00@traders my resolution criteria for this market failed to account for the possibility that we wouldn't get ratings from Ross and Carrie, but with the podcast having ended that now seems pretty likely. Please vote in this poll to let me know if you'd prefer me to use my judgement instead, or just resolve this market N/A.
Either way, I have liquidated my previous position in this market and will make no further trades in it.