Will UK inflation be above 4.0% at the end of 2023?
UK•Inflation•New Year's Resolutions 2024
54
354
Ṁ965
resolved Jan 17
Resolved
NO

Resolves based on the UK 12 month headline consumer price inflation figure, rounded to one decimal place, for the month of December 2023, as expected to be published by the Office for National Statistics on 17 January 2024 07:00 local time. 4.1% or above = YES. 4.0% or below = NO.

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bought Ṁ4,250 of NO

Inflation came in at 4.0%, resolved NO.

predicted YES

edit: nevermind

predicted NO

@fwave yes, and that's what happened!

predicted YES

@chrisjbillington yeah, sorry for my confusion.

predicted NO

UK inflation fell from 6.7% to 4.6% in October.

predicted YES

Similar market but for 5% (and "by", not "on")

https://manifold.markets/Fion/will-uk-cpi-inflation-be-below-5-by?r=Rmlvbg

Will UK CPI inflation be below 5% by the end of 2023?
45% chance. The UK prime minister has “pledged” to reduce inflation to 5% by the end of the year. Will this happen? I’ll resolve YES if it ever drops below 5%. Otherwise I’ll wait until the December figures come out (17 January 2024) and resolve based on those. Resolves NO if the published figure i…

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