Will Manifold have more than 1400 daily active users (7d avg) on September 30?
12
closes Oct 1
87%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ11 +14%
New probability
88% +0.4%
Resolves according to manifold.markets/stats as soon as stats is available, based on the Daily (7d avg) chart for the value labelled "Sep 30th".
Addendum Sep 13th:
Market resolution will not respect manipulation attempts that violate Manifold's
community guidelines - this means use of bugs, an army of alts, botting, etc. Regular
collusion and other kinds of manipulation that don't violate the community guidelines are
fine.
In the event that community-guidelines-violating manipulation occurs, I will attempt to
correct for it and be transparent about how I have done so.
Get Ṁ500 play money
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Traders please note the addendum to the description: resolution will not respect manipulation that runs afoul of Manifold's community guidelines.
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