(Canada) Will the Liberals poll within 10 points of the Conservatives before next Federal Election?
Mini
6
แน€105
2025
44%
chance

As determined by the aggregate poll on this page of Canada 338:
https://338canada.com/federal.htm

If at any point between now, and the election day (including election day), this page shows a 10-point or lower difference between the two parties, this market will resolve YES.

Currently:

Conservative: 42

Liberal: 24

Diff: 18

The next federal election is on or before Oct 20, 2025

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Currently a 16 point difference:

This is kind of pretty

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