So much for the wisdom of crowds

I've tabulated the votes, and No wins with 9 votes to 8! Only person who voted in both polls was @Mira (who voted twice).

Will the "Whales vs. Minnows" market be good for Manifold?

Yes

No

I've posted a poll on the main market (https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-the-whales-win-this-market#dBLxGzn0KEowBgiRsyWY), and will repost it here as well. I will deduplicate votes among the two instances.

Recommend doing the poll somewhere where people will notice, like Discord or the main market, and not here.

MM got $30k USD from this market, and probably will have a much better idea of how to deal with such markets in the future (by restricting, discouraging or banning them). Those sound like positive aspects to me.

@FlorisvanDoorn Apparently they gave like $25k of it back to him, but still totally agree, they took down the $1000 price tier to purchase mana, and said they were going to make adjustments so something similar doesn’t happen again, and avoid feeding into potential gambling addictions. so overall I would absolutely say’s it’s a positive to Manifold.

@eclair4151 Additionally, this whole ordeal caused Manifold to start clarifying if Alt accounts were ok, and also shows that anyone could start exploiting new signup bonuses and the api to siphon money and build up a huge balance. Which I imagine Manifold will now start to address and put protections in place because of it.

I’d love to hear why people don’t think this overall would be a net positive. There was a bit of drama along the way but I think most things got settled out in the end.

manifold the community or manifold the company?

@Shelvacu Up to you!

@chilli Unless you're telling me I get to set the question on the poll, it's not

@Shelvacu The poll will be phrased the same way the title of the market is, and will have "Yes" and "No" as options.

You can use the standard manifold poll template.

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